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Trump predicts Iran war end And lower oil prices

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Trump's refinery and fuel-price claims

Oct 5

Oman TV attributes to Donald Trump a prediction that the Iran war will end very soon, possibly shortly before or after the U.S. midterm elections, followed by a sharp fall in oil prices. It places the remarks before his departure for Grand Island, Nebraska, during his campaign tour. This is the bulletin's account of his forecast, not a report that the war has ended.

In the October 5 South Lawn gaggle, Trump says the refinery issue has been discussed and he thinks activity is slowing, without naming an agreement. He blames war-related refinery losses, especially in Russia, for diesel pressure while claiming substantial Hormuz oil flows. Asked later about falling gasoline prices, he predicts sharper reductions after a war he says will soon end, says European and US diesel reserves are being contributed and claims oil prices are falling. No halt to strikes, named strike episode, measured causal effect, release quantity, completed peace agreement or new nuclear arrangement is established. Oman TV's October 6 brief places the Iran-war-end and lower-oil-price prediction before Trump's Grand Island departure, matching the October 5 South Lawn appearance. It additionally attributes possible timing shortly before or after the midterm elections. That election-timing formulation is not heard in the retrieved original fuel-price answer and remains the later bulletin's attribution; neither account establishes an end of war.

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