WMO seasonal update El Niño peak forecast

Oct 8

CCTV says WMO issued its global seasonal climate update on October 8, forecasting record central/eastern tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures in October–December 2026 and an intensifying El Niño expected to peak in December. It describes risks for economies, ecosystems and societies, including greater drought and flood risks in different regions. WMO puts the probability of El Niño continuing through February 2027 at nearly 100%. These are forecasts and risk assessments, not observed future temperatures or certain impacts.

WMO issues its global seasonal climate update on October 8, 2026. CCTV reports forecasts of record central/eastern tropical Pacific surface temperatures in October–December, El Niño intensification and a December peak, with regional drought/flood risks and nearly 100% probability of continuation through February 2027. These remain attributable forecasts, not observed future conditions or certain impacts.