Amcha Yisrael poll setback Haddad clip and campaign row

Oct 4

Yaara Shapira revisits the previous day's Kan poll showing Amcha Yisrael below the electoral threshold for the first time since its launch, with the studio wording giving 2.5–2.6 percent. She links right-wing attacks to the resurfacing of a five-year-old interview in which Yoseph Haddad supported an Israeli state alongside a Palestinian state. She says Haddad later changed his mind following Operation Guardian of the Walls. Ofer Winter defends him and says the campaign's critics lie; Likud-linked criticism and Natalie Shem Tov's objection to dishonest campaigning are included. The party blames coalition attacks for the poll result and believes it can recover. The reporter says most polls currently support Winter's claim that Netanyahu cannot form a government without him. This is a campaign assessment, not an election result or proof that the clip caused the polling change.

Kan publishes its October 4 election projection: Yashar 23 seats, Likud 21, Bennett's party 12, Yisrael Beiteinu 9, and eight each to the Democrats, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism and the Joint List. Religious Zionism has six, Ra'am five and Hendel–Zelekha four; Winter's Amcha Yisrael is reported at 2.5–2.6 percent and Gantz below threshold. The original anchor assigns 52 seats to Netanyahu's bloc and 51 to Eisenkot's, with thirteen Arab-list seats and four uncommitted seats. Commentators stress polling error, day-specific campaign effects and uncertain turnout. Eisenkot leads Netanyahu 41–38 in suitability, Netanyahu leads Bennett 40–35, and opposition voters prefer Eisenkot 35–20 over Bennett. Kan's October 5 replay identifies this as yesterday's same poll, says Amcha Yisrael fell below threshold for the first time since launch and reports the party blaming coalition attacks while hoping for recovery. These are projections and attributed explanations, not voting results or proven campaign effects.